=== SMYLY ===
Drew Smyly. Is. Good.
=== GALLARDO ===
BaseballHQ has the following eval, which we'll gingerly slip in here:
Missed two months with shoulder injury after rough April, but things hardly improved upon return. Posted career-worst Cmd (K/BB), BPV (overall component skills index), and xERA (predicted not real ERA), while FpK (first-pitch strikes - Dr. D) continues to speak to strained relationship with strike zone. The pitcher you remember from 2009-12 no longer exists. It's time to move on.
Prediction: 1.47 WHIP, -$4 roto in 160 IP
There was a thought floated on Fangraphs that:
(1) Seth Smith was inferior to other, very cheap, outfielders on the market, notably Michael Saunders, so
(2) It was not possible to GIVE Seth Smith to anyone in return for a single baseball, so
(3) The Mariners had to take back a "negative value" player in order to get Smith off the roster.
I thought, okay, I'll buy that, so went over to check Gallardo's salary vs. Smith's ...whooooooops! This Gallardo dude makes ELEVEN MILLION DOLLARS? Just to put that little gem of a contract onto some black velvet to show the sparkly ... Wade Miley was at $6.1M last year. Hisashi Iwakuma was on $11M last year, though, admittedly, he's on $14M this year.
The Mariners (of course) exchanged lengthy math-money spreadsheets while negotiating with the Orioles. What they came up with is that the Orioles pay Smith's $7.0M this year, and that they share Gallardo's deal: the O's pay $2M to Gallardo and the Mariners pay $9M to him.
This means that the Mariners extend their budget by $2M -- not your problem, b'wana -- to accomplish two things:
(1) Get themselves one additional slow motion, luxurious pull at the 2017 Speedy Outfielder Deck. Probably the Ben Gamel pull.
(2) Freeze Rob Whalen and Chris Heston out of the rotation.
So much for powerflushing Gallardo in May after he's gutshot by a random texas ranger wielding a 140 Power Index. Gallardo is in there, like Wade Miley was in there, but more so. Rob Whalen interests me, as does Chris Heston. But since when does Jerry Dipoto simply DFA a player making $9,000,000? As Bruce Wayne would say, do you know what $9,000,000 looks like in hundred dollar bills?
But maybe you think that the M's WOULD write Gallardo off, should he pitch like he has in fact pitched. Do tell.
Dr. D is by nature a bubbly individual. Granted that Drew Smyly and Yovani Gallardo are at VERY OPPOSITE ENDS of my little "sleeper SP's to poach" roto Post-It-Note. What is the possible UP scenario here? What is in Dipoto's mind?
:: taps chin ::
With eyes wide open, I got nothin.
Leaning into the monitor, "find something nice or I shoot this dog" mode ...
:: taps chin ::
His hard-hit ball rate is pretty good the last two years. "Meaning?" Meaning his feel for junkballs is ... ah ... present. Also, he WAS reported to have a bad shoulder last year, although his velocity didn't really change that much.
One thing is, you do not have to go back to 2012 to find a good pitcher. Gallardo was a 3.75 xERA pitcher all the way through the middle of 2015. He had a 2.62 ERA in Texas the first half of that year, and it was fairly deserved. It was late in the 2015 year that the wheels came off, and they stayed off in 2016.
So, if Dipoto has some reason to believe that Gallardo will "bounce back" siiiiigggghhhhh to June of 2015 and the decade previous, then okay. I have no earthly idea what that reason to believe would be, do you? Does help that Gallardo's only 31. It wouldn't be WEIRD for Gallardo to bounce back; in ALL similar cases I'd say that about 1 of 4 of them recover from "weak" to "moderately effective." Why Dipoto likes Gallardo's chances, dunno, but am hoping there is something.
=== I THOUGHT THIS WAS ABOUT THE BOR, Dept. ===
No, you didn't miss it. There's nothing much about Smyly. Just wanted to get in that swipe about "opposite ends of Dr. D's roto board." Amusing roto symmetry in the back of our rotation. For all I know, this is THE #1 best bet among SP's under the fantasy radar, and THE #1 worst bet. I kinda like the bookend effect :- )
=== BIOLOGY RICK ===
Haven't heard from him in a long while? Is he okay?