Sherm the leader of the Rebel Alliance saith,
I figured if the Mariners play badly, I was right, and gloating ensues. If I'm wrong, everyone gets caught up in the first playoff appearance in franchise history* and forgets completely about me and my blown call, just like everyone forgets about the ump who cost Galarraga that perfect game.
Suddenly Dr. D realizes what he's done! He forced his opponents into a winning combination! This one at least as old as the "Benjamin Franklin Farmer's Almanac": Plan for and expect the worst. When it happens (or doesn't), you'll be in a normal mood (or pleasantly surprised).
In chess when you're in a slump -- not that Dr. D would know -- you see your opponent's easy replies even before he does. You know things aren't working right when your opponent can't miss the winning refutation blindfolded. You play ...b5 and as you hit your clock, you shake your head in disgust and go, "He's just gonna play Qb3 and I'm done." We ask, does anybody dare write the Mariners off, and even as we hit the Publish button we had to grimace.
Well, at least you all made it amusing. If I got to take my move back, I'd ask the reverse, is anybody going to watch the Angels series? That's where Dr. D is at, in case y'were wondering, might as well check that last series.
The Mariners consistently lose head to head matchup against the good teams. They have lost every series to the Stros and the Yankees this year. They have lost to the Indians. They lost to the Nats. They are even against Boston but that's about it. The Mariners look like monsters when there are Orcs or Braves to slay. They are about as good as the Angels, in that their talents and their holes are very apparent.
An interesting objection. At this b-ref link, under Team Win/Loss Splits, far right Opponents, you can expand a crosstable. The M's are notable:
- Winners vs: Rockies, Tigers, Orcs, Rays, Rangers
- Losers vs: Astros, Royals, rodent Angels, Jays
If the M's 4-9 record against the Angels were 7-6 they'd be leading the WC2. Reverse it and they'd be in command. This happened to the Reds against the Dodgers one year and I whined, "If it weren't for the games against the Dodgers we'd be four games UP!" He laughed and chided, gently, "I would think those would be the games that mattered the most?" Stuck with me 40 years.
There are 4 teams between us and LAA. So we have to outperform 5 teams, three of them by 3+ games.
If we beat McCullers tonight (a big if) then we are sitting at 70 and 70. Nothing less than 84 wins gets in, and it is likely 85. Sherm has called it right.
Basically, we're all but done.
If the reproach had come from my enemy then I could bear it; if it were one who hated me then I could hide myself from him. But it is my companion and my familiar friend who places his hand softly on my shoulder and ... shivs my blog under the short rib. Okay, so it's now M's comedy, Seahawks ("led from behind" by Caleb and Sherm), Korners and the latest exciting live-cams from the Cuban chess world.
DaddyO sez ... wait, let's split out the postmortem. ...
Mark Simon that is. Not the Denizen but the national writer. Tweets that Jarrod Dyson leads the major leagues in outfield runs saved in the ARM category. The equivalent of -7 runs (not bases) deterred with his arm. That's pretty cool for a small guy.
Sign 'im up,