This year, you're either out of what may be the best buyers market ever to hit July or you're going to bust past that soft cap. In order to get back under next year(if that was the desire) The money from Cruz, Rzep, Phelps etc. ($26 million or so) would basically be partially spent already in that effort. And you're probably even more definitely out of next year's FA class.
Then there's the need to trade either Marco or Erasmo unless one is in the bullpen or on the DL. That's not a reason not to improve the rotation, just trying to see all the effects.
Right now I'd say next October they'll be around $40-45 million under the cap For 2019 (guessing at arb raises) with likely needing a penner and a DH. Probably there will be at least something else. If a starter were acquired in July who's still in Arbitration years, one of the top FA could potentially still fit. I'm waiting to see who actually gets to FA before getting too worried, but...Would Dipoto go there? Now that there's finally ownership that actually might...Well, Cano, but you know what I mean. Should anyone even want anyone who might be there if the dollars are back toward the top end for those guys?
Making or not making moves based on that reminds me of Ohtani though. Someone's probably going to have a horrible off-season next year because they planned on someone they're not going to get. Let that not be us.
If it's a roll the dice kind of year then Arrietta was always the FA SP to go for because if he breaks right (keeps his unorthodox throwing motion under control) he's got the upside of clearing 5 WAR without much surprise. Who's worries wouldn't fade once Arrietta was inked? Maybe he fails his physical with LA and Sea swoops. I still think that Dipoto might be gun shy from the Smyly experience though. He found 3 baskets to put eggs in later the same year. Symbolic of the fear?
The 5-9 SP have all looked worthy of continued watching to me. Marco, Miranda, Moore, Povse and Whalen is who I've got. May have an order for them next time through. Figuring 'Mo (Ramirez) is 4 unless still rehabbing. Rumbelow looks like top 3 in swing competition or back end of Tacomas rotation (#10 starter with 1 or 2 in Sea BP), the way I see things.
Heredia got 2 PA the day before and sits at 1-2 with 3 BB total. Servais said somewhere that he plans to keep him off the field another week.
I'm personally buying the Dee-fense shtick a bit more. Maybe because I always wanted to believe and all the noises have been right. But LF Flo saying "I think he's going to be one of the best center fielders in baseball." isn't even close to light praise. First step and routes make sense as concerns, Bishop knocks one down "Anytime you get an athlete of that caliber, to be able to watch his first step, I mean, it's really just unmatched." These are good defensive outfielders, but I guess it could be more noise than notation. I mean it's not Ibanez or Cruz marveling at how good he looks on defense. Saying he's got baseball IQ is one of those that maybe means little to the affect on actual skills. It makes sense in the details I've seen and heard that he's already decent to pretty good at everything except routes which the little I've seen hadn't looked so good. I just want to be able to see more of the baseball they're playing...