Q. Is Wily Mo correct that Dr. D is in a sour mood?
A. Bah humbug. More of the Elias-Carson and Leonydas type trades. :: shrug :: whatever, dude. If it brings Wily Mo back to the conversation threads, that's some consolation, at least.
Q. Where does Dyson play?
A. The Mariners.org website says:
Dipoto expects Dyson to play "fairly regularly" with some combination of him and Martin in left and center field most nights, with Haniger in right field and Gamel and Guillermo Heredia "fighting it out" for additional time. Haniger, Gamel and Heredia all have Minor League options as well, giving the club roster flexibility.
"We feel we have five legitimate center fielders to man our three outfield positions," Dipoto said.
I DID enjoy thoroughly that bit about "some combination of him and Martin most nights." In theory that should signal a diminished role for Martin, never a Mainframe favorite.
Q. Is Dyson a plus leadoff hitter?
A. Not as a HITTER, he is not. He cobbles together 2.5, 3.0 WAR per season based on a legitimate +10, +15 runs defensively, +7 runs with his legs, and a sub-Aoki batting line (.260 with mediocre walks and minus power).
He's a defensive specialist who can manufacture you a run in a Paxton-Sale game.
Q. What are the comps?
A. If you take Billy Hamilton and slide a notch of speed into --- > a notch of bat, we're not far off. That might give us a feel for the situation.
Leonys Martin actually shows up as one of Dyson's reasonable comps. Martin's got more potential power, Dyson more productivity on the bases, but they are both .260-hitting, 90-OPS defensive wizards in the outfield. I've got to say I like Dyson better than Martin. He's more solid, has a higher REL score.
Jon Jay has been hitting .280/.350/.360 the last three years with plus defense. He's not as fast as Dyson, but probably gives you a little better AB.
If you want a big name, Jacoby Ellsbury has been clocking in with a similar slash line and quality defense. All told, we get the idea: Jarrod Dyson is a Leonydas King of Spalding type idea. Since he's been consistent with the 2, 3 WAR per season, we've got to allow that Dyson has been a quality player.
Q. Where does that leave us on the platoons?
A. The Royals haven't been playing Dyson against lefties, which is the same problem that Martin has, but one has to play CF unless they're going to get crazy by benching both of 'em.
Q. Is there upside?
A. No. Dyson is who he is.
BUT he might gain 0.5 WAR from moving to Safeco. The flurries of groundballs, and the passels of stolen bases, are not suppressed by the park (whereas other hitters' skills ARE suppressed by Safeco).
Q. Overall grok?
A. The Mainframe says that the closer you look at the deal(s), the more frustrating they are. But! If you back up to 80,000 feet there is some context to like here.
(1) The Mariners seem to have a genuine 4.5-to-make-3 situation in the outfield, and I don't remember ever seeing that in my life. Do you? The whole idea of Stars & Scrubs is that you can discard and draw at the deck. Kudos.
(2) Dipoto does have his "athletic" outfield now, and in spades. So this is a club he'll own. He's got a monster infield and a Dipoto(TM) outfield, so I've got to allow that it's dynamic. From my standpoint as a fan, the fact that he added Jean Segura gives him the "right" to noodle around with pet theories in the outfield.
Overall it's a distintive and stylistic roster. It should be fascinating to watch it unfold.