WAR/600
At what rate does a player produce their WAR?

There are other stats for this, but I wanted a straightforward number to show the rate at which a player is accumulating WAR when he is on the field. This won't necessarily show what a player would put up over a season because some guys splits will show they are platoon players, etc. (200 plate appearance minimum).

IMO, it helps compare apples to apples, for example: 

Aaron Judge had 4.9 WAR with a 6.577 WAR/600 (he has 447 plate appearances)
Francisco Lindor had a 7.3 WAR with a 6.39 WAR/600 (he has 685 plate appearances)

The formula takes their WAR divided by their plate appearances and shows us the rate a player is accumulating WAR assuming they got 600 plate appearances (rather than comparing two guys with 300 and 700 plate appearances)

It is valuable for seeing who was most valuable in the time they actually spent in the game. A decent way to look for what might be those hidden gems (or turd covered quarters).

Formula:
(WAR/PA)*600

It basically says if all players had 600 plate appearances and performed at the same rate they did in however many plate appearances they actually had, this is how valuable that performance would be over 600 plate appearances. Apples to Apples.

Anyways, the list includes some lesser known names and I don't have time to research them all, so if anyone sees any names that stick out to them as players we should pursue, I'd love to hear about them...

This is how it shakes out:

Name WAR/600
Mike Trout 9.62962963
Mookie Betts 9.36535163
Jose Ramirez 7.570093458
Matt Chapman 7.065026362
Alex Bregman 6.797583082
Justin Turner 6.577540107
Aaron Judge 6.577181208
Francisco Lindor 6.394160584
Max Muncy 6.053811659
Christian Yelich 6.030150754
Anthony Rendon 5.802919708
J.T. Realmuto 5.76
Lorenzo Cain 5.595854922
Adalberto Mondesi 5.593220339
Ronald Acuna 5.491990847
Andrelton Simmons 5.435168739
Brandon Nimmo 5.265306122
Shohei Ohtani 5.25
Manny Machado 5.197568389
Xander Bogaerts 5.193370166
Javier Baez 5.186440678
Harrison Bader 5.169712794
J.D. Martinez 5.114754098
Nolan Arenado 4.959481361
Jose Altuve 4.946236559
Juan Soto 4.944320713
Francisco Cervelli 4.907651715
Didi Gregorius 4.888888889
Matt Carpenter 4.761904762
Aaron Hicks 4.760147601
Paul Goldschmidt 4.741641337
Elias Diaz 4.705882353
Steve Pearce 4.594594595
Scooter Gennett 4.59234609
Ben Zobrist 4.487179487
Jed Lowrie 4.483306836
Trevor Story 4.333868379
Wilson Ramos 4.27480916
Leonys Martin 4.249291785
Daniel Robertson 4.235294118
Eugenio Suarez 4.225352113
Freddie Freeman 4.162895928
Whit Merrifield 4.147465438
Kolten Wong 4.0625
Mallex Smith 3.93442623
Kris Bryant 3.884892086
Paul DeJong 3.80952381
Robinson Cano 3.8
Andrew Benintendi 3.768115942
Kyle Schwarber 3.765690377
Omar Narvaez 3.763066202
Johan Camargo 3.75782881
Yasmani Grandal 3.75782881
Mitch Haniger 3.755868545
Jurickson Profar 3.729433272
David Fletcher 3.713355049
Joey Wendle 3.658536585
Eddie Rosario 3.648648649
Joc Pederson 3.614457831
Joey Votto 3.602058319
Trea Turner 3.586005831
Ozzie Albies 3.573667712
David Freese 3.541666667
David Peralta 3.517241379
Luke Maile 3.482142857
Max Stassi 3.47107438
Willson Contreras 3.418467583
Giancarlo Stanton 3.394495413
Travis Shaw 3.387978142
Jean Segura 3.373083475
Jose Iglesias 3.362068966
Justin Upton 3.339130435
Starling Marte 3.327370304
Nelson Cruz 3.32103321
Cody Bellinger 3.316582915
Marcus Semien 3.297709924
Ji-Man Choi 3.28358209
Chad Pinder 3.269230769
Jesus Aguilar 3.249516441
Yadier Molina 3.232758621
Enrique Hernandez 3.120567376
Michael Brantley 3.098106713
Bryce Harper 3.079315708
Adam Frazier 3.057324841
Jackie Bradley Jr. 3.024193548
Ian Kinsler 3.018108652
Joey Gallo 2.972477064
A.J. Pollock 2.971698113
Tommy Pham 2.941176471
Jason Heyward 2.926829268
Eduardo Escobar 2.924369748
Rougned Odor 2.920892495
Gleyber Torres 2.876712329
Brian Anderson 2.852614897
Ryan Zimmerman 2.847457627
Yan Gomes 2.821782178
Kurt Suzuki 2.809917355
Gregory Polanco 2.808988764
Franmil Reyes 2.808510638
Jorge Alfaro 2.794520548
Jedd Gyorko 2.786885246
Nicholas Castellanos 2.775119617
Yasiel Puig 2.773722628
George Springer 2.764505119
Brandon Belt 2.763157895
Nick Markakis 2.727272727
Marcell Ozuna 2.662116041
Todd Frazier 2.651162791
Tyler Flowers 2.637362637
Mark Canha 2.628865979
Willy Adames 2.618181818
Wil Myers 2.617449664
Kevin Kiermaier 2.61627907
Austin Hedges 2.608695652
Jonathan Villar 2.591792657
Asdrubal Cabrera 2.581755594
Rhys Hoskins 2.578512397
Michael Conforto 2.572898799
Mike Moustakas 2.564102564
Matt Olson 2.557377049
Anthony Rizzo 2.553191489
Buster Posey 2.544642857
Chris Taylor 2.544169611
Randal Grichuk 2.523364486
Max Kepler 2.517482517
Miguel Andujar 2.486486486
Tony Kemp 2.462686567
Shin-Soo Choo 2.456692913
Stephen Piscotty 2.451154529
Tim Anderson 2.429577465
Ender Inciarte 2.423263328
Adam Eaton 2.42074928
DJ LeMahieu 2.413793103
Carlos Correa 2.389380531
Jeimer Candelario 2.387543253
Brett Gardner 2.383419689
Jorge Polanco 2.38267148
Robinson Chirinos 2.376237624
Khris Davis 2.368421053
Jorge Soler 2.33463035
Starlin Castro 2.333873582
Scott Schebler 2.331606218
Andrew McCutchen 2.289348172
Corey Dickerson 2.284569138
Matt Duffy 2.281368821
Charlie Culberson 2.268041237
Jose Peraza 2.253521127
Daniel Descalso 2.227722772
Ben Gamel 2.205882353
Phillip Ervin 2.181818182
Aledmys Diaz 2.168674699
Nick Ahmed 2.16730038
Jason Kipnis 2.139037433
Hunter Renfroe 2.13740458
Austin Romine 2.134387352
C.J. Cron 2.109375
Jake Cave 2.076923077
Salvador Perez 2.04
Mitch Garver 2.030769231
Cesar Hernandez 2.018348624
Eric Thames 2
Kevin Pillar 1.9921875
Jake Marisnick 1.971830986
Alex Gordon 1.935483871
Nomar Mazara 1.935483871
Justin Smoak 1.904761905
Amed Rosario 1.895910781
Carlos Gonzalez 1.894736842
Denard Span 1.890756303
Charlie Blackmon 1.880877743
Christian Villanueva 1.875
Alen Hanson 1.868512111
Dansby Swanson 1.860465116
Brandon Crawford 1.834532374
Addison Russell 1.822125813
Carlos Santana 1.815286624
Gary Sanchez 1.796407186
Ian Happ 1.784897025
Yolmer Sanchez 1.779242175
Ketel Marte 1.777777778
Jose Martinez 1.771217712
Mike Zunino 1.764705882
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.76
Matt Davidson 1.756756757
Matt Kemp 1.75
Martin Maldonado 1.723237598
Manny Pina 1.703470032
Kevin Plawecki 1.693548387
Matt Adams 1.636363636
Marwin Gonzalez 1.631067961
Kyle Seager 1.621621622
Jesse Winker 1.616766467
Renato Nunez 1.607142857
Billy Hamilton 1.6
Domingo Santana 1.6
Curtis Granderson 1.595744681
Tucker Barnhart 1.588594705
Albert Almora Jr. 1.578947368
Nick Hundley 1.567164179
Yoan Moncada 1.49750416
Adrian Beltre 1.479820628
Travis Jankowski 1.467391304
Maikel Franco 1.447368421
Niko Goodrum 1.441048035
Joey Rickard 1.435406699
JaCoby Jones 1.411764706
J.T. Riddle 1.4
David Dahl 1.388888889
Elvis Andrus 1.388174807
Hernan Perez 1.320754717
Ryan Braun 1.317073171
Josh Reddick 1.310043668
Odubel Herrera 1.276595745
Jordy Mercer 1.276595745
Michael A. Taylor 1.276595745
Brock Holt 1.268882175
Matt Wieters 1.229508197
Cory Spangenberg 1.208053691
Jose Abreu 1.193490054
Devin Mesoraco 1.136363636
Wilmer Difo 1.129411765
Joe Mauer 1.097560976
Daniel Palka 1.047381546
Melky Cabrera 1.021276596
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.012658228
Derek Dietrich 1.011235955
Adeiny Hechavarria 1
Miguel Rojas 0.977596741
Rafael Devers 0.9375
Edwin Encarnacion 0.902255639
Josh Bell 0.902255639
Evan Longoria 0.893617021
Greg Garcia 0.87804878
Justin Bour 0.864197531
Jake Bauers 0.857142857
Jon Jay 0.855614973
Mark Reynolds 0.853080569
Austin Slater 0.853080569
Russell Martin 0.852272727
Gorkys Hernandez 0.849056604
Mitch Moreland 0.835266821
Jose Bautista 0.793650794
Brian Dozier 0.784313725
Ronald Guzman 0.753768844
Jonathan Schoop 0.748440748
Manuel Margot 0.746887967
Zack Cozart 0.711462451
Jonathan Lucroy 0.709219858
Wilmer Flores 0.700934579

Comments

1

Look at Cano as an example. Sure, he was a 2 WAR player this season.

But, while he was on the field he produced at the rate of a 4 WAR player.

And, imo, if a team is considering a contract, they wouldn't look at Cano's 2 WAR, so it doesn't make much sense for us to.

At what WAR rate did he produce while he was on the field? Cano produced like a 4 WAR guy while he was on the field. That's all it's saying. At the end of the year he had 2 WAR. He earned that 2 WAR at a rate that would = 4 WAR/600PA.

His particular situation alone makes it very easy for us to nod and say, huh... ok, maybe there's something to this.

Cano (at the time I prepared this spreadsheet):

300 PA
1.9 WAR

(1.9/300)*600 
=3.8 WAR per 600 plate appearances

All it does is put everyone on an even footing to show at what rate they are producing WAR while they are playing.

2

Take this particular area of players, I find it interesting at least. Assumes 600 PA per player, what would you get? Well, here you go:

71 - Jean Segura (3.3 WAR) (3.37 WAR/600)
73 - Justin Upton (3.3 WAR) (3.34 WAR/600)
75 - Nelson Cruz (3 WAR) (3.32 WAR/600)
83 - Michael Brantley (3 WAR) (3.10 WAR/600)
84 - Bryce Harper (3.3 WAR) (3.08 WAR/600)
89 - AJ Pollock (2.1 WAR) (2.97 WAR/600)

Shows you Pollock didn't play as much as Harper, but produced WAR at nearly the same rate while he was on the field.

4

This is really cool.

The normalizing WAR stat seems like it would work for pitchers as well if you normalized for 200 innings.  For example, James Paxton and Edwin Diaz each have a 3.5 WAR.  Prorated to 200 innings you have 4.7 for Paxton and 9.85 for Sugar! We should enneagate (multiply into nine parts I think) this guy!

Like all stats, proration must break down to be less useful for rookie players who haven't been booked yet or are used for favorable platoon splits.  But, it puts the value of established players like Boomstick into a good perspective.

Great read!

5

I think it would work for pitchers also. Likely would have to adjust to 200 (what you want your good pitchers to throw) for starting pitchers and somewhere between 60 and 75 innings for relief pitchers (however many innings teams good relievers throw) to stay within reason :)

So, for example, it may say that Clayton Kershaw only threw 150 innings for 4.5 WAR, so WAR/200 would be 6.00..

Also, for example, say Sugar throws 100 innings and gets 6 WAR, but his WAR/75 would be 4.5 because he threw more than typical (if that were the case), etc.

Can lead to fun discussion about a normalizing stat at least.

I've always had an issue looking at all 3 WAR players as if they're created equal when we all know for various reasons that isn't the case. Missed 40 games, played with hernia, etc.

What rate did they accumulate their WAR when they were on the field seems to be a more pertinent question.

Add comment

Filtered HTML

  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd><p><br>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

shout_filter

  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.